Internationale Politik und Gesellschaft
International Politics and Society 1/2003

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Summaries:

Ernst-Otto Czempiel
Europe’s Mission: Pushing for a Participative World Order

David P. Calleo
Balancing America: Europe’s International Duties

 

Ernst-Otto Czempiel

Europe’s Mission: Pushing for a Participative World Order

The highly interdependent world of today needs a different type of foreign policy, one which aims at a well-ordered, peaceful global society. This foreign policy gives priority to structures that breed peace rather than to the fight against the enemies whom the present “order” keeps generating. It strives for broad-based participation in the emerging – and unavoidable – system of global governance, the spread of democracy throughout the world, and a more even distribution of wealth. The United States, now the virtually unchallenged superpower, is tempted to embark on a policy of strength, to impose its will on the rest of the world unilaterally in accordance with American interests and convenience. Europe should not try to match American military power in order to become a superpower itself. Rather, the unique character of the European Union as a highly participative supra-national governance system predestines it to pioneer a new type of post-national, post-realist foreign policy. If the EU spoke with one voice it would exert tremendous political influence, despite its military inferiority. Its example would have persuasive power. After all, American society shares the fundamental values on which the new world order is to be based.

 

 

David P. Calleo

Balancing America: Europe’s International Duties

The new tendency of the USA to pursue its foreign-policy goals without much consideration for European preferences has its roots in the profound transformation in the balance of power since 1990. Europeans, in turn, tend to extrapolate the highly specific conditions which generated and supported the transatlantic partnership during the Cold War into the present. In the Cold War, European security depended on America’s superior military power, while America needed its European allies in order to prevent Soviet expansion. It was this mutual dependency which gave European states some influence in multilateral transatlantic decision-making structures. The commonality of fundamental political values (democracy, private enterprise) persists, but the mutual dependence has gone. America now has the power to act unilaterally. This applies not only to divergent views concerning the best response to common challenges, but also to real conflicts of interest, which are bound to emerge, above all with regard to America’s perennially huge trade deficit. It is tempting for the USA to pursue an aggressive foreign policy, opposing the emergence of other great powers and in the process creating an enemy that justifies a permanent crusade and the subordination of other states to the America-defined priority of fighting this enemy. At present, Europe is not in a position to form a counterweight to theUSA, not so much because it lacks military power but because it lacks political will. It would be good also for America if Europe became more self-assertive (of course on the basis of unquestioned friendship with America). European-style multilateralism provides a more promising path to lasting peace than “Pax Americana”. A strengthened Europe, capable of taking care of its own geopolitical interests, would have the function to rescue America from its imperial fantasies.

 

 

Christoph Bertram

Europe’s Best Interest: Staying Close to Number One

For all its economic weight Europe lacks what it takes to be a counterweight to the USA. Europeans can decide only whether they want to be allies of America or not. At present, Europe cannot muster sufficient military power to act strategically, independently of the USA. It would be relatively easy to overcome this gap; what matters more is that Europe is politically incapable of playing a strategic role. It lacks an adequate decision-making procedure and is unlikely to come up with one soon. Most importantly of all, Europe lacks the political determination to become a strategic player. All these deficits do not leave Europe without influence in the post–Cold War world. Already, Europe’s success in developing multilateral structures that exclude war and make for stability in its own region and its “near abroad” is remarkable. Alas, Europe will not make full use even of this unique structure-building potential. Europe’s political class has been conditioned by the experience of living with American leadership for so long and so well. Under current circumstances, the only hopeof Europe having any influence on US decisions that affect European interests lies in close alliance with the USA – even if American foreign policy departs from the old transatlantic consensus. Unquestioned, albeit critical, loyalty vis-à-vis the USA (plus an additional dose of political “maturity” and seriousness) will give Europeans a voice in the US internal foreign policy debate. This is a consequence of the openness of American society and its political culture. While Europe and America are drifting apart, they remain tied to each other by common political values as well as by a large bloc of common interests.

 

 

John M. Owen

Why American Hegemony Is Here to Stay

Increasing American unilateralism in international affairs can be seen as the natural consequence of the power disparity between the USA and the rest of the world, including America’s European allies. At present, the USA barely needs the support of its allies and can afford to neglect European objections when it comes to policy conflicts. Deep-rooted ideological differences between structure-oriented Europeans and action-oriented Americans – which reflect different historical experiences – make it likely that such conflicts will occur. Until the Europeans come up with a common foreign policy they will be able to do little more than comment on US policy. However, even with the capability of pursuing a coherent strategy, their options remain limited as long as the military power gap within the Western alliance persists. However, a militarily more powerful Europe with increased leverage over its American ally would itself succumb to unilateralist temptations, thus torpedoing the development of a multilateral world order. While Europe in this way could at least balance American unilateralism, becoming a great power in its own right would impose high costs which Europeans are unwilling to bear. For all the transatlantic differences in interests and opinion, European security is not threatened by a superpower USA whose basic political values Europe shares. Indeed, as far as costs are concerned, Europe, like most countries, rather enjoys American hegemony. In sum, although it would be good for the hegemon if it were bound to pay more attention to European preferences it is unlikely that such balancing power will be attained by an ally which – despite its misgivings – is basically comfortable with the status quo.

 

Claus Leggewie

Globalization versus Hegemony
On the Future of Transatlantic Relations

Three scenarios are emerging in the relationship between America and Europe. The most likely one is America going it alone on security and geo-economic questions. The alternatives are (a) a transatlantic hegemonic alliance and (b) a global governance system which replaces American or Western hegemony. Unfortunately, the latter is the least likely. No superpower has ever been as hegemonial as the USA is today. No coalition of other powers can prevent it from setting up an international order according to its wishes. But the hegemony is expressed not only in superior power, but also in the attractiveness of American solutions to world problems. Many are happy to follow the hegemon. For this reason, no world-wide coalition of the inferior powers against the superior power is in sight. Rather, all that happens is isolated criticism by those who otherwise have no objections to the willingness of the United States to "put wrongs right". From the American point of view, there is a certain logic about not worrying too much about what are in any case the inconsistent preferences of other governments, and instead relying on whatever ad hoc alliances fit US needs. This particularly changes Germany's importance to US foreign policy. But the future challenges are increasingly of a nature that cannot be tackled by superior imperial power. In the past, the US has always aimed to overcome the European-style world of absolutely sovereign nation states and has instead promoted the openness of its own society to the rest of the world. Just at a time when the world is actually globalizing and increasingly undermining the old nation state concept, the emphasis of the USA thinks and acts increasingly in the categories of national sovereignty. The old Europe, in contrast, which has always thought in national terms, is subscribing to a concept of supranational global order. It is to be feared that the "Pax Americana" will not be a "Pax", because the new American expression of power is not the appropriate response to the coming threats. Hegemony does not fit in with globalization. The concept of world order which Europe has recently come to advocate points to the better way. But there are also influential forces in the United States who share this view. It is now important to forge a new transatlantic alliance with them.

 

 

Robert Chr. van Ooyen

Modern Realism – Another Case of Political Theology
On Robert Kagan's Arguments

International politics is driven not only by facts, but also by the theoretical context of understanding within which the facts are interpreted. This also applies to the provocative  arguments of Robert Kagan, who interprets the current disturbances in transatlantic relations as an expression of fundamentally different world views. Whereas, he posits, Europe orients itself towards a Kantian paradise of freedom, peace and prosperity, the United States is concentrating on the exercise of power in a Hobbesian world – idealism on the one side, realism on the other. According to Kagan, idealistic concepts have been a constant thread in the tradition of European thought, even in "modern" or "realistic" thinkers like Marx, Weber or Popper, and they have for some time been experiencing a renaissance resulting from Europe's military weakness. In fact, Europe's security-policy illusionism evolves parasitically under the protection of the US military shield. Morals in international affairs appear, thus, as a strategy for wimps. However, Kagan reveals in this analysis that he is a "political theologian". His reduction of the concept of politics to the perspective of power has nothing to do with an understanding of political "reality". It is based on the myth of the sovereignty of power, creative and self-creating, and thus quasi-divine. But political power is only ever human power and is thus not sovereign. Anyone claiming, like Kagan, that international relations cannot be "ordered" by processes institutionalized by international law and by politics, anyone who denounces morals as mere trickery by the weak, understands political reality just as little as the idealism he criticizes.  

 

 

Natan Sznaider

Israel: Ethnic State and Pluralistic Society

The State of Israel gained its international legitimacy from the condemnation of anti-Semitism which emerged following the Holocaust. Beyond this international legitimacy, Israel can only look to ethnic and religious origins, a foundation for legitimacy which is not accepted nowadays by a large part of the world. But even the legitimacy of the state derived from the Holocaust comes up against the problem that the globalized Holocaust memory has reallocated the ethnic attributes of perpetrators and victims into categories of right and wrong. Furthermore, Israel is a "state surrounded by enemies", and the sociological laws of the "enemy-free state", as found in many societies in Europe today, do not pertain there. The specific linkage of ethnically based state identity and Jewish religion distinguish Israel clearly from the post-Enlightenment states of the so-called West. Even if there are apparently equal rights, the fundamental identity of the state excludes the non-Jewish citizens. The peace process was not only a political process in which two parties worked to overcome a conflict, but also a cultural battle of modernity against tradition. The inner-Jewish ethnic and cultural conflicts must be understood in terms of the imperative of the ethnic state. In that state, these conflicts can bring integration; outside of the ethnos, they cannot. The peace process was primarily supported by that section of the population which enjoys the greatest similarity to Western "bourgeois" groups. It entailed an attempt to give Israel a secular, post-Zionist identity. The social and cultural contrasts between the various Jewish groupings in the population became drastically aggravated. But liberal principles are finding life increasingly difficult in Israel's new violence-dominated reality. The war situation has reactivated the old, already shaky Zionist identity. The conflict with Israel's enemies does not permit a truly "civil society" to emerge in the country, since this sort of society has to be one at peace. And the achievements in establishing the rule of law are also being dismantled. Whilst the enmity of the Arabs is reinforcing national cohesion – on the basis of an exclusive identity – this concept of identity and the political structures resting on it are increasingly undermining the country's external legitimacy. Israel's future will be focused around this problem.

Uwe Halbach

Oil and Identity in the Caucasus

The break-up of the Soviet Union resulted in many more or less violent conflicts in the Caucasus region between the Caspian and Black Seas, none of which has been settled so far. These conflicts, several of which have assumed the nature of real wars, largely originate in the struggle by ethnically defined groups to escape from a pre-existing state structure. The aim has generally been to form a separate independent state. In the case of the efforts by Nagorno-Karabakh to break away from Azerbaijan, there is also the prospect of joining a different state – Armenia. Whilst the conflicts are primarily fueled by the identity issue, they are exacerbated, extended and altered by economic factors. However, the oft-cited "Great Game" between major and medium-sized powers to gain power over the Caspian oil and its transport routes plays a subordinate role. Not only did all the conflicts in the region break out at a time when dreams of Caspian oil – which have since become far less exciting – had yet to determine policies. Also, the outcomes of the various conflicts have been of little relevance for the pipeline projects. It is true that the region has probably gained – perhaps only temporarily – greater geopolitical significance due to the Caspian oil, but it has proved hard to instrumentalize the ethnic tensions in favor of one or other geopolitical player. The opposite has rather been the case: the local Caucasian parties to the conflict have instrumentalized the emerging oil industry – and not only it – for their own ends. On the one hand, this means that they have used their force-backed access to economic resources to fund their "cause". On the other hand, criminal and quasi-criminal groupings have emerged to enrich themselves in the regions which have become increasingly "government-free" and thus susceptible to "lawlessness". But this latter aspect should not imply that the enrichment motive has determined the subsequent course of the conflicts. On the contrary: the conflicts continue to be characterised by the willingness of the parties to accept great material sacrifices in the interest of their own identity-defined cause. In fact, the various wars and the resulting "peaceless" stalemates have produced a massive economic decline coupled with a corresponding impoverishment of the population. Subsistence economies have grown up throughout the region at the lowest level – not only in the rebel-controlled areas, but throughout the various states. To an increasing extent, it is the Islamic factor which links the regional anarchy with world politics. It particularly plays a role in the Chechnya conflict: some of the rebels stress their Islamic identity. Russia legitimizes its intervention – of which Moscow has largely lost control – as a fight against Islamicist terrorism. Beyond this, the "government-free" regions of today's Caucasus could serve as potential havens for terrorist groups.

Andreas Maurer

Less Bargaining – More Deliberation
The Convention Method for Enhancing EU Democracy

The decision-making processes of the European Union are centered on negotiation processes – which largely take place behind closed doors – between the governments of the member states, and are so distant from the individual citizens that their public acceptance is increasingly under threat. And there is no obvious remedy. After all, in the classical model of representative democracy, majority decisions rely on the willingness of the respective minority to subordinate itself to the majority decision. This can only be expected on the basis of a fundamental feeling of belonging together. In other words, it would need a European people, a European "demos", which does not yet exist. But such a demos can also be gradually formed by joint policy-making in the course of which a common political public is formed. This suggests that it would be important to make progress on the process of forming a European political public. This aim could be served by the concept of "deliberative democracy", which focuses not on majority decision, but on the joint search, by means of an open exchange of arguments, for solutions – where possible consensual in nature – to shared problems. The polity would thus become more democratic if forums for such "deliberation" were set up. The "deliberative" search for the best decisions creates, if it involves broad participation, that public which makes up a democracy-capable "demos". In the course of the further development of the EU, forums for open deliberation have been set up on two occasions. One was the "Convention on the Charter of Fundamental Rights", which met from the end of 1999 until fall 2000. The other is the "Convention on the Future of the Union" set up at the end of 2001. Both of these were or are entrusted with elaborating recommendations for fundamental decisions affecting the development of the EU – recommendations to be presented to an Intergovernmental Conference for a decision. The "Convention Method" points to new ways to democratize the EU decision-making processes, because, separately from all rules on who is responsible for what, it brings members of the European Parliament and of national parliaments together with government and Commission representatives for an intensive, results-oriented exchange of views. Even though it does not directly change anything in the decision-making process, the Convention Method creates scope for the representatives of the people at EU and national level to substantively influence EU policy. These two Conventions are a first step, not yet a breakthrough. But the European Parliament and the national parliaments themselves have an opportunity to grant a greater role to the Convention Method in future and thus to promote a substantial democratization of the Union.

© Friedrich Ebert Stiftung | net edition malte.michel | 1/2003